Glossary
Trading glossary
The numbers and terms that describe a trading edge, defined without jargon and cross-linked to the tools that use them.
Excursion & trade quality
How much a trade gave you, threatened you, and left on the table.
Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE)
4 min readThe best unrealized profit a trade reached before you closed it — and what the gap to realized P&L tells you about exits.
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
3 min readThe worst unrealized loss a trade survived — and what your MAE distribution says about whether stops are doing real work.
Maximum Continuation Excursion (MCE)
6 min readWhat did the market do after you closed? MCE measures the move you missed — and reveals whether your exit was on time or premature.
Reading MFE, MAE, and MCE
3 min readThree numbers describe every closed trade: the best it got, the worst it threatened, and what it did after you exited. Together they tell you whether your exit was structural or lucky.
R-multiple
3 min readAn R-multiple expresses a trade result as profit or loss measured in units of the initial risk you put at stake when you entered.
Realized vs. unrealized P&L
3 min readRealized P&L is profit booked when you close a position; unrealized P&L is the open, mark-to-market gain or loss on positions still running.
Breakeven win rate
3 min readThe minimum percentage of trades you need to win to break even at a given reward-to-risk ratio, before costs.
Edge & expectancy
The metrics that tell you whether a strategy actually makes money.
Trading expectancy
3 min readExpectancy is the average profit or loss you can expect per trade, measured across a large sample of trades rather than any single outcome.
Profit factor
3 min readProfit factor is your gross profit divided by your gross loss — the total dollars your winners made against the total dollars your losers cost.
Win rate
3 min readWin rate is the share of your closed trades that finished in profit, expressed as a percentage.
Average win / average loss
3 min readThe payoff ratio: your mean profit per winning trade divided by your mean loss per losing trade, measuring how much winners outsize losers.
Sharpe ratio
3 min readThe Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return: your average excess return over the risk-free rate divided by the volatility of your returns.
Risk & position sizing
Sizing every trade, surviving drawdowns, and protecting capital.
Position sizing
3 min readPosition sizing is deciding how much to trade so each position risks a controlled, predetermined slice of your account.
Kelly criterion
3 min readThe Kelly criterion is the fraction of capital to bet on each trade that maximizes the long-run geometric growth rate of your account.
Risk of ruin
6 min readThe portfolio-level survival metric: the probability your account hits a defined drawdown threshold before your edge has time to play out.
Maximum drawdown
3 min readMaximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in account equity over a period, measured in currency or percent.
Drawdown recovery
3 min readDrawdown recovery is the percentage gain needed to climb back to a prior equity peak after a loss — and it grows faster than the loss itself.
Instrument basics
The units brokers quote in — pips, lots, margin, and leverage.
Pip
3 min readA pip is the standard smallest price increment quoted in a forex pair, usually the fourth decimal place (0.0001), or the second (0.01) for JPY pairs.
Lot size
3 min readLot size is the standardized quantity of an instrument you buy or sell per trade unit — the block your broker measures every position in.
Margin
3 min readMargin is the capital your broker requires you to post as collateral to open and hold a leveraged position.
Leverage
3 min readLeverage lets you control a position larger than your deposited capital using broker margin, expressed as a ratio such as 30:1.
More terms
Recent additions not yet filed into a field.
Hawkish vs. Dovish: What They Actually Mean
3 min readTwo words carry most of the meaning in central-bank commentary. Hawkish leans toward tighter money; dovish leans toward easier money. The nuance, and the mistakes, come from what they are measured against.
How to Read a Central Bank Statement
6 min readA rate decision is rarely the news. The news is what changed since the last one: the guidance, the votes, the projections, the balance sheet. This is how to read a policy statement the way desks do, by comparison.