Trading Expectancy Calculator
Estimate the expected R per trade from win rate, average win, average loss, and costs. A setup needs positive expectancy before scale makes sense.
Use a real sample, not a best-case month.
Calculate expectancy
Model the average result per trade and project it across a sample size.
%
trades
R
R
R
Expectancy0.26 R
Projected R26.00 R
Breakeven win rate35.71 %
Loss rate55.00 %
Expectancy needs a sample, not a feeling
Use a consistent tag, setup, or strategy sample before trusting the result. The calculation becomes useful when it is tied to repeated behavior in your journal, not when it is filled with aspirational numbers.
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These calculators are educational planning tools. They do not provide investment advice, trading signals, or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.