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Fundamentals

Fed hikes to 4 percent and raises its growth forecast

The FOMC raised the target range a quarter point on September 16, 2026, and revised growth up for 2026 and 2027 in the same release. Stocks sold off during the press conference. Three days later, ES trades above its pre-Fed level.

5 min readRead
  1. Metrics

    Sortino ratio: how to calculate it from your daily P&L

    The Sortino ratio divides your average daily result by the downside deviation of your losing days. Calculate it step by step, see why tools disagree on the number, and read it next to the Sharpe ratio.

    7 min read
  2. Risk

    Prop firm consistency rule: how to calculate it and the profit you still need

    A consistency rule caps how much of your total profit one day may contribute. Calculate your best-day share, the total profit the rule requires, and how large your next day can be.

    6 min read
  3. Risk

    Trailing drawdown: how it moves and where your floor sits

    A trailing drawdown is a loss floor that follows your highest balance up and never moves down. Work out where it sits before each session, how end-of-day and intraday rules differ, and when it locks.

    7 min read
  4. PlaybookJournaling

    Trading plan example: write rules you can check trade by trade

    A trading plan is a short list of conditions every trade either meets or breaks. Copy a one-page example, rewrite vague lines as checkable rules, and audit your closed trades against it.

    7 min read
  5. GlossaryMetrics

    Risk/reward ratio: set a minimum and check what your exits deliver

    The risk/reward ratio compares the distance to your target with the distance to your stop. Set a minimum from your win rate, then check the ratio your closed trades delivered.

    7 min read
  6. Journaling

    Build a trading dashboard you can verify

    Set up a post-trade dashboard, choose widgets for one review task, and check account and filter scope before comparing results.

    8 min read
  7. Journaling

    How to start a trading journal with 20 trades

    Start with one account and a short trade note. Follow a completed example, review your first 20 closed trades, and choose what to record next.

    6 min read
  8. Journaling

    How to choose a day trading journal

    Test a day trading journal with one week of trades. Check imports, review unfinished notes, and use a completed example to write a weekly decision.

    6 min read
  9. JournalingMetrics

    How to build a Notion trading journal

    Build a Notion trading journal with linked trades and weekly reviews. Follow a worked example, set up a trade-count rollup, and check your records.

    6 min read
  10. Journaling

    Trading journal templates for four review cycles

    Copy practical templates for trade, daily, weekly, and session reviews, then adapt each one to the decision it needs to support.

    5 min read
  11. RiskMetrics

    Monte Carlo simulation for trading results

    Learn how projection and reshuffle simulations turn your trade history into fan charts, drawdown ranges, and testable risk questions.

    6 min read

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