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How to Read a Central Bank Statement
A rate decision is rarely the news. The news is what changed since the last one: the guidance, the votes, the projections, the balance sheet. This is how to read a policy statement the way desks do, by comparison.
Nền tảngThuật ngữHawkish vs. Dovish: What They Actually Mean
Two words carry most of the meaning in central-bank commentary. Hawkish leans toward tighter money; dovish leans toward easier money. The nuance, and the mistakes, come from what they are measured against.
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Nền tảngWhy the Change Matters More Than the Statement
The market has read this month’s rate decision before it prints. What it hasn’t priced is the wording that quietly changed since last time. The edge is in reading the diff, not the document.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốR-multiple
An R-multiple expresses a trade result as profit or loss measured in units of the initial risk you put at stake when you entered.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốRealized vs. unrealized P&L
Realized P&L is profit booked when you close a position; unrealized P&L is the open, mark-to-market gain or loss on positions still running.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốBreakeven win rate
The minimum percentage of trades you need to win to break even at a given reward-to-risk ratio, before costs.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốTrading expectancy
Expectancy is the average profit or loss you can expect per trade, measured across a large sample of trades rather than any single outcome.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốProfit factor
Profit factor is your gross profit divided by your gross loss — the total dollars your winners made against the total dollars your losers cost.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốWin rate
Win rate is the share of your closed trades that finished in profit, expressed as a percentage.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốAverage win / average loss
The payoff ratio: your mean profit per winning trade divided by your mean loss per losing trade, measuring how much winners outsize losers.
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Thuật ngữChỉ sốSharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return: your average excess return over the risk-free rate divided by the volatility of your returns.
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Thuật ngữQuy mô vị thếPosition sizing
Position sizing is deciding how much to trade so each position risks a controlled, predetermined slice of your account.
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