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DasarGlosarium

How to Read a Central Bank Statement

A rate decision is rarely the news. The news is what changed since the last one: the guidance, the votes, the projections, the balance sheet. This is how to read a policy statement the way desks do, by comparison.

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  1. DasarGlosarium

    Hawkish vs. Dovish: What They Actually Mean

    Two words carry most of the meaning in central-bank commentary. Hawkish leans toward tighter money; dovish leans toward easier money. The nuance, and the mistakes, come from what they are measured against.

    3 mnt membaca
  2. Dasar

    Why the Change Matters More Than the Statement

    The market has read this month’s rate decision before it prints. What it hasn’t priced is the wording that quietly changed since last time. The edge is in reading the diff, not the document.

    4 mnt membaca
  3. GlosariumMetrik

    R-multiple

    An R-multiple expresses a trade result as profit or loss measured in units of the initial risk you put at stake when you entered.

    3 mnt membaca
  4. GlosariumMetrik

    Realized vs. unrealized P&L

    Realized P&L is profit booked when you close a position; unrealized P&L is the open, mark-to-market gain or loss on positions still running.

    3 mnt membaca
  5. GlosariumMetrik

    Breakeven win rate

    The minimum percentage of trades you need to win to break even at a given reward-to-risk ratio, before costs.

    3 mnt membaca
  6. GlosariumMetrik

    Trading expectancy

    Expectancy is the average profit or loss you can expect per trade, measured across a large sample of trades rather than any single outcome.

    3 mnt membaca
  7. GlosariumMetrik

    Profit factor

    Profit factor is your gross profit divided by your gross loss — the total dollars your winners made against the total dollars your losers cost.

    3 mnt membaca
  8. GlosariumMetrik

    Win rate

    Win rate is the share of your closed trades that finished in profit, expressed as a percentage.

    3 mnt membaca
  9. GlosariumMetrik

    Average win / average loss

    The payoff ratio: your mean profit per winning trade divided by your mean loss per losing trade, measuring how much winners outsize losers.

    3 mnt membaca
  10. GlosariumMetrik

    Sharpe ratio

    The Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return: your average excess return over the risk-free rate divided by the volatility of your returns.

    3 mnt membaca
  11. GlosariumUkuran posisi

    Position sizing

    Position sizing is deciding how much to trade so each position risks a controlled, predetermined slice of your account.

    3 mnt membaca

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